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Are Providers Ready For This Tsunami?
We recently discussed the impact of all of the changes going on with payment models on the providers. We discussed that the evolution to payment models that reimburse for quality and outcomes rather than volume of visits and procedures will have significant impact on the providers. This is no trivial change! Physicians have practiced the same way for thousands of years. Patients with medical issues come to them and receive care. Now, they have to take on a whole new set of activities. They need to make sure that the patients take their medications so they can achieve their treatment goals. They need to make sure patients follow lifestyle instructions so their chronic diseases don’t deteriorate, resulting in bad outcomes. How could they possibly take this on and continue to see patients? if anything, with all of the new insured people, physicians will need to see more patients.
The answer is that in order for physicians to achieve these goals, they need to go to new models of care. This means that they will need to start leveraging a team supporting them far more effectively. They need to use technology to get more done with the same resources. Their practice patterns need to shift to incorporate new tools to get to better results.
Early experience suggests that although there is some movement in this direction by the providers, it’s slow going. Many of the physicians are close to retirement and are not interested in turning their practices upside down. Younger physicians are worried about the impact on their bottom lines during the transition and are proceeding cautiously. What is clear is that the solo and smaller practices will have a much tougher time with this. That’s because they have more limited resources to embark on this journey. That’s why more and more of them are open to selling their practices or forming partnerships with institutions.
How to Identify Future Winners at HIMSS14?
I’m in Orlando, walking around the Exhibit Hall here and marveling at all of the systems on display here. Rows and rows full of different companies with cool and shiny systems meant to address every pain point possible for healthcare providers and consumers. I’ve been to many conferences over the years and seen so many tools that I thought would revolutionize healthcare. I never heard of most of them again. How do you then walk around these halls and know a winner when you see it? Here is some help:
- Look for tools that are focused on solving a specific problem and don’t try to tackle too many things at once. Generally, to successfully solve a pain point in healthcare, you must deliver something that quietly makes someone’s life easier without inflicting too much pain on others. Anything with the taglines “One Stop Shop” or “All Your …….Needs Solved” must be viewed with caution. To deliver this type of solution, you have to replace too many other things and chances are one of those systems is beloved by someone at a decision making position.
- If the system requires interoperability with too many other solutions, you might be looking at a well-intentioned product with low odds of success. Established systems have little appetite to work with exciting new systems and many times feel threatened by them. Unless you have friends in high places, one of those incumbents will try to sink you.
- If the system will deliver amazing value to the buyers in 2-3 years, chances are that the buyers won’t cut a check today. Medical centers think about the future but invest in systems that deliver an immediate ROI. Ask about the economic benefits to the buyers and the time frame to deliver those benefits. If it’s over a year, be skeptical!
Come see Acupera on display at the Intelligent Medical Home pavilion at 8265-62. Put us through this test and see how we fare!
Have a great conference!
What Happens to Providers?
We have discussed the historic changes going on with Medicare and the entire healthcare system. The pressure of increasing costs of healthcare on governments is forcing them to take radical steps to contain costs. These include cutting payments to providers, paying only for the most essential medical services, and linking payments to outcomes. So, if you’re a provider, what are you supposed to do? You’re getting paid less for the same services and now you have to do a lot more than just treating your patients. You need to start tracking and reporting their outcomes and if the outcomes don’t meet the requirements set for payers, you will be penalized, even if it has nothing to do with the quality of care you provided. What are you supposed to do if a patient doesn’t take their medications or if someone wants to try other treatments that you did not even recommend? Why should you be penalized for their action? Well, these arguments sound very logical but the payers, especially the governments, are tired of escalating costs and they’re putting it on the providers to fix this.
This has resulted in some pretty significant changes in the healthcare system. For one, to start managing patients in an ongoing basis so you can improve their outcomes, you need to have the resources to not only do your daily job of seeing patients in your clinics and hospitals but also keep an eye on them when they’re out of the clinical setting. Also, you need to start addressing the types of things that you never had to worry about: can this patient afford their drugs?, what is their level of health literacy?, what if they go home from the hospital and don’t follow the instructions and come right back in? Medicare now penalizes hospitals if their patients get readmitted within 30 days of discharge. How does a medical clinic take this on? Well, it doesn’t. Increasingly, physicians groups are joining hospital systems and forming health systems, or medical centers, or integrated delivery networks (IDN.) These organizations are trying to organize their resources so that they can now go to a Team Care model. This means that it will no longer be a physician and a patient. The physician now will have a team supporting him. This team will not only manage patient’s clinical issues but will support the patient’s lifestyle and attend to all of their non-clinical problems that may affect their health. The hope is that we will see much better patient outcomes at lower costs. Will it work? Well, we can discuss that next time.
What’s in Store for Health IT in 2014?
EHRs Will Go Under the Microscope
In 2014, many large health systems will continue to re-evaluate their enterprise Electronic Health Record (EHR) systems. They will also be increasingly willing to scrap those investments and start over with EHRs that better support population health management, can integrate with practice management and billing, and offer more integration of outpatient with inpatient systems.
Health systems will also need guidance on how to use the data they have to improve their business and comply with increasingly punitive federal reporting requirements. Since many health systems organizations don’t have these capabilities in-house, they will look to technology companies that offer effective solutions without being too disruptive to their current IT architecture.
The Affordable Care Act Effect
Under the Affordable Care Act, the number of Americans who enroll in healthcare plans will continue to increase. The influx of previously uninsured Americans into the healthcare system presents a unique opportunity for health IT companies to help providers become more efficient.
The prospect of increased revenues will force health systems to look for ways to increase their capacity. This might mean the acquisition of additional physician practices, increased use of physician extenders (such as Nurse Practitioners), and the use of more digital health tools.
Organizations Will Continue their Slow Shift to Value-Based Care
Healthcare providers will continue to adopt value-based contracts, but at a slower pace than predicted. The delays will be caused by the need to create an IT infrastructure that supports value-based care, and the need to alter workflows that embrace this new model.
At the same time, providers will continue to resist drastic changes to their clinical workflows and will only take incremental steps towards new practice models. This, coupled with shortage of healthcare IT specialists, will mean that health systems will need to undertake additional work and Fee-for- Service will continue to be the dominant payment model for years to come.
Healthcare Providers Will Move Ever Closer to Adopt a Community Approach to Care
Successful, innovative health systems will realize that keeping a population healthy is a community-wide effort. Frontrunners will launch initiatives that involve coordination of clinical, social, behavioral and family resources to identify and minimize risk, while increasing patient engagement.
To be successful, health systems must view their EHRs as a building block for population health management, not as the sole solution. More healthcare organizations will begin to understand that a single technology will not support all of their needs, and they may need to integrate multiple technologies to meet the new demand for their services. It’s critical to have systems in place that can integrate data from multiple sources, such as remote monitoring devices, or help make that information actionable.
How Did We Get Here? Part V
In our last installment of this series, I’d like to review some of the ongoing changes in our healthcare system and their potential impact on how healthcare is practiced in US.
First, health insurance exchanges are meant to provide everyone an opportunity to have health insurance. On the surface, this might suggest increased costs to the government since many people will receive government subsidies to buy health insurance. How, then, does this help the government save money and stay solvent? Well, many of these people are currently getting care in very expensive settings such as emergency departments or hospitals, and cost the system lots of money. This results in rise of the healthcare costs and everyone ends up paying more, including the government. By insuring everyone, the goal is that people will get preventive care and have access to the system before they need to go into the emergency departments or hospitals. This will result in lowering the overall cost of care. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects that this will result in significant reductions in overall healthcare costs over the next few decades.
Second, payment reform will mean that providers will need to shift from getting paid per episode of care to payment based on the outcome of their actions. This is quite a change from how medicine has been practiced and paid for historically. Providers are used to seeing their patients when those patients feel that they need medical care. After each episode of care, be it in a clinic or in a hospital, patients and their families are responsible for following the medical instructions. Now, with the new payment models, providers need to worry whether their patients will fill their prescriptions or take them. They’ll need to identify their high risk patients, anticipate their complications, and intervene before they reach a critical stage where they may need expensive care in a hospital. How are providers dealing with this? Many are taking very measured steps toward these new care delivery models. Change is not easy but you have to start somewhere.
Let’s next talk about what providers are doing to succeed in this new world.
How Did We Get Here? Part IV
So, now you are the US government, the number of people in Medicare is increasing and they live longer and get better and more expensive treatments for their heart disease, arthritis, and Alzheimer’s and you have to pay for all of it. Economic growth is around 2-3% annually, which means the tax revenue coming in is not nearly enough to keep up with the rise in healthcare costs. Well, government and insurance companies have tried many things over the years to curb the growth in healthcare costs. These include incentives for people to change their behavior so they would be healthier and use less healthcare services. Such incentives included premium discounts for not smoking, losing weight, taking their medications, and other things. Also, they tried disease management services that included focusing on certain high cost diseases such as diabetes and heart failure and making sure people with those conditions were treated well so they would have less complications. Whether these programs had any impact on the rise in healthcare costs is debatable, but what is clear is that the costs continued to rise at a brisk pace.
In the last decade, Medicare and commercial payers have been experimenting with payment models where providers are incentivized to take responsibility for the outcome and overall costs of care of their patients. The idea behind this is that only providers have the knowledge and relationships to impact the outcome of their patients’ conditions. Patients who have been reluctant to participate in disease management programs run by insurance companies seem much more open to the idea if it’s through their own doctors. Providers have to get used to a new kind of care: one that pays them to keep their patients healthier rather than by the volume of the patients they see or the number of procedure they perform. Initial data shows promising outcomes and pioneer provider institutions have shown reduction in overall cost of managing a population of patients.
Next, we can see whether and how all of the current changes may add up to increased coverage and reduced costs.
How Did We Get Here? Part III
Well, it looks like big trouble for the governments who committed to providing healthcare to some or all of their population. After all, who could have predicted all of the expensive advances that would be made in diagnostics and therapeutics? How governments began to deal with this depended on how their population were insured. In European social democratic countries, universal coverage meant government was responsible for insuring and paying for everyone’s healthcare. This meant that these governments were the sole buyers of healthcare services and thus able to set prices. Therefore, price controls became the main tool these governments used to control the escalation of healthcare costs. Also, in the last decade, these governments have begun doing comparative analysis research, where they determine if the new treatments are more effective than the existing ones. If the new treatment costs more, it needs to show what justifies this price premium. This means many new treatments that are “me too” could not get premium pricing. That’s how the rise in healthcare costs has been controlled in many of these counties. In United States, these price controls have not been the norm. Most Americans have private insurance. This means that there is not one buyer for new diagnostics and therapeutics. That has made it easier for pharmaceuticals and medical device companies to commercialize their products in the United States at healthy margins. Also, competition in healthcare between providers has resulted in escalation of costs as they try to match each other in having the latest technologies and best treatments. Another factor has been the large number of uninsured Americans who use emergency departments and other expensive healthcare services result in unreimbursed costs to provider institutions. These costs gets passed on to insurance companies and eventually to all of us. All of this means double digit increases in the cost of healthcare in US for the last few decades. This is now reaching a point where it can no longer be ignored as Medicare trust fund only has a few years left.
Next, we will discuss the steps that are now being taken to bring this fast rise in healthcare costs under control.
How Did We Get Here? Part II
Part II
So, now everyone is living longer thanks to improved quality of life and better medicines. That’s a good thing, right? Well, yes and no. Longer life expectancy and more active life means higher productivity, thus higher GDP and a bigger economy that can employ more people and creates more tax revenues for governments. That’s good but it’s not the whole story. Since the new treatments began to outstrip the ability of most people to pay for them, around the middle of the twentieth century, most developed nation governments began to provide health insurance for some or most of their population. It started out as insurance for the elderly and the poor, and in many countries it soon became government-sponsored universal insurance. Although universal coverage is not the case in the United States yet, starting in the sixties, US government signed a contract with people over sixty five and guaranteed healthcare to all over that age. At the time, it was projected that this group would constitute only three percent of the population. Smart government statisticians said that the government would be able to honor this contract long-term. Well, fast forward some fifty years and now we find ourselves in an entirely different situation. The percentage of people over sixty five is far above the initial projected three percentage, and rising fast. Life Science companies are developing biologics, expensive devices, and much more. Medical costs have been rising at a much faster rate than the GDP and suddenly the government is trying to figure out how to honor their contracts with their people. The cost of medical care is taking an ever increasing percentage of government budgets and is leaving less and less to invest in education, infrastructure, and technology (which is how you grow the economy!)
So, what are they going to do? Well, we will discuss that next.
How Did We Get Here: Part I
Part I
With all of the talk of healthcare reform and very turbulent launch of Health Insurance Exchanges, it’s time to step back and ask: How did we get here?
Today’s debate about how people should be insured and how healthcare should be provided is the result of historic trends that are intersecting at this moment in time. It wasn’t too long ago that treatment options were very limited for just about any ailment and life expectancy was less than sixty years old. Governments had no involvement in provision of healthcare to their populations and the concept of insurance as a way to pay for healthcare was unheard of. What happened? Well, many things. First, industrial revolution resulted in great wealth creation and ability to invest in research and development in many areas, including Medicine. At the turn of the twentieth century, the top causes of mortality were almost all infectious diseases. Cardiovascular disease was not in the top 10 causes of mortality worldwide. Why? People have to live long enough to develop cardiovascular disease and many people died with infectious disease or in wars. With the discovery of penicillin and the subsequent creation of the pharmaceutical industry, improvements in sanitation, and anesthesia and surgery, suddenly many of the universally fatal illnesses became treatable. People were now living longer and developing new illnesses, which meant opportunities for new research to discover new drugs to combat these illnesses. Heard of statins? How about ace inhibitors? These two classes of drugs are responsible for improving survival rates of two of the deadliest chronic diseases. So, now people are living longer and new, exotic treatments are coming out everyday to take care of their arthritis, alzheimer’s, and bad knees.
Wait a minute! Who is paying for all of this? That’ll be the focus of part II